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Expert Commentary
CISES Expert Commentary publishes independent analysis by external specialists, including academics, policy professionals, military personnel and experienced practitioners. These contributions examine significant international developments and enduring policy questions, advancing arguments grounded in subject-matter expertise and reliable evidence. Commentaries normally range from 800 to 1,600 words and cover international security, defence, economic affairs and emerging technologies.
Latest publications
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From “Strategic Competitor” to “World War II Ally”: Why Is Trump Being So Courteous to China?
The most striking feature of Xi Jinping’s September state visit to the United States was not simply that the Chinese and American presidents met again. It was…
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China’s Global Governance Initiative: How Should Europe Respond in the Global South?
Debate in Europe about China’s global role now rarely escapes the language of competition. The Belt and Road Initiative, the Global Development Initiative, the Global Security Initiative…
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Rallied around the authorities, ready to escalate. How Putin is using the result of the State Duma election
In brief: The official result of the State Duma election does not make it possible to determine reliably the actual scale of Russians’ support for individual political groups…
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The Latent Side of Energy Security: Evidence from Artificial Intelligence Policy in the EU
The global AI race intertwines with energy security, highlighting the need for Europe to balance AI development, electrification, and sustainable energy. Policymakers must create frameworks addressing interdependencies…
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Watching the Grey Zone from Space: Japan–Philippines Surveillance Cooperation in the South China Sea
Maritime confrontations in the South China Sea increasingly revolve around evidence as much as physical encounters. China’s grey zone operations exploit the gap between action and attribution.…
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Strategic Autonomy, Coordination and Politics of Contestation: Reducing Eurosceptic Backlash
Based on the latest debates on geopolitical tensions surrounding Ukraine and the emerging modus operandi of the current U.S. administration, the European Union (EU) appears to face…
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Space Security and the Collapse of Arms Control
‘We’re doomed,’ exclaimed C-3PO, the quirky golden robot from George Lucas’s iconic Star Wars movies. Space has captured the imagination of generations. For the most part, when…
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Why “Coopetition” may be a better descriptor of the Indo-Pacific’s shifting order than a “Second Cold War”
The Indo-Pacific order is characterised by “coopetition”. Put simply, “coopetition” is a portmanteau of “cooperation” and “competition”. The term has been used in Business Studies to describe…
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Contemporary Sabotage
On the eve of the Winter Olympics, thousands of spectators were already on the move when flames lit up a railway junction near Pesaro. Overnight, fires, severed…
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The Fall of Nicolás Maduro and the Fall of Putin’s Imperialism
The US intervention in Venezuela and the capture of Nicolas Maduro to bring him to trial on criminal charges have far-reaching implications for international politics. One particularly…