Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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Administered, Not Claimed: Where Japan’s Deterrence Actually Holds
Executive Summary Although Japan is becoming more capable militarily, its deterrence is not equally strong across all of its territorial disputes. The Senkaku Islands, a group…
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The India-China Rapprochement: Sustainable or Temporary?
Introduction Over the last eight decades, the relationship between India and China has seen many ups and downs, ranging from times of close friendship to frozen…
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Assessment of the Pentagon’s Reported Shift Towards Tactical Nuclear Weapons
Executive Summary The US Department of Defence is reportedly drafting a revised nuclear strategy which will place a greater emphasis on short-range tactical nuclear weapons for…
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Ukraine’s Patriot Plans: Viability Within Europe’s Wider Aim of Strategic Autonomy?
Executive Summary Ukraine’s ambition to secure domestic production of PAC-2/3 Patriot air defence interceptors has been seemingly hindered following President Trump’s public reneging on a pledge…
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Estonia Ramps Up Baltic Drone and Defence Collaboration Amidst Tensions
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Baltics have faced increased military activity throughout the summer of 2026, with tensions reaching their highest point over the week of August 17-21.…
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Nvidia’s Asian Buyer Whitelist and the Gaps in US Chip Export Controls
Executive Summary The strategy of the United States towards chips export control defines what is prohibited. However, this relies on the action of individual companies to…
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New China-led AI Organization Challenges Western Dominance
Executive Summary On July 16th, during the week of the World Artificial Intelligence Conference, twenty-nine countries signed an agreement to establish the World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation…
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Institutionalising Deep Strike: Ukraine’s New Long-Range Command
Executive Summary Ukraine is moving to institutionalise its long-strike campaign. On 10th July 2026, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced the creation of a dedicated command within the…
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How the Iran War is Fueling a New Nuclear Arms Race
Executive Summary The war against Iran, launched hours after Tehran agreed to uranium restrictions and full inspection access for the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), has…
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China’s Influence on South Korea-Mongolia Economic Relations
Executive Summary During the Korea-Mongolia summit on July 9, 2026, the two countries reached an agreement in principle on the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA), which…
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What France’s Bastille Day Military Parade Means for the Future of European Defence
Executive Summary On 14 July 2026, President Emmanuel Macron presided over his last Bastille Day military parade before leaving office in 2027. This year’s ‘XXL’ parade…
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Azerbaijan’s Growing Defence Partnership with Italy: Potential implications for the military balance of power in the South Caucasus
Executive Summary On 9 July 2026, Azerbaijan’s Minister of Defence, Colonel General Zakir Hasanov met in Baku with a delegation led by the National Armaments Director…