Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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Pakistan’s Deployment to Saudi Arabia: What Is at Stake?
Pakistan’s deployment to Saudi Arabia under the Mecca Pact raises questions over military authority, domestic security and Islamabad’s relations with Iran and China.
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Botswana, Angola and the Fight Against Synthetic Diamonds
Botswana and Angola face growing competition from synthetic diamonds. Can provenance, branding and De Beers ownership preserve the value of natural diamonds?
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Expanding US-Colombia Joint Kinetic Operations Against Terror Networks
Executive Summary This assessment analyses the potential for joint US–Colombia aerial kinetic operations, referred to in a military context as aerial actions designed to cause physical…
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Russia’s Shadow War: The Threat to Britain’s Defence Industry
The past few weeks have borne significant developments within Russia’s political and military posturing, as NATO allies continue to deepen their cooperation with Ukraine. Among NATO…
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Algeria’s Unusual Defence Budget and Implications for Global Security
If one is to look at the top five countries with the highest share of GDP dedicated to defence spending, the list generally tracks with global…
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Can the UAE Become An Independent Producer of Military Technology
Introduction The current volatile situation in the Gulf has forced the United Arab Emirates to enter into a direct conflict against Iran earlier this year (Malsin…
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Simandou and the Geoeconomic Reconfiguration of Iron Ore: Guinea, the New Sino-Australian Arbiter?
The growing importance of the Simandou mining corridor calls for a more nuanced assessment of a narrative that has become increasingly common in the Guinean press…
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JNIM-FLA tactical cooperation and state vulnerability in Mali
1. Executive Summary On 25 April 2026, JNIM and the FLA mounted a coordinated offensive across Mali, including attacks on Bamako, and killed Defence Minister Sadio…
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From Berlin to Abuja: Why Europe’s Next Supply Chain Runs through Africa
On July 21-22, 2026, the German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul visited Lagos, Nigeria, as part of his diplomatic journey across Africa, accompanying a trade delegation of…
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The Costs of Jordan’s Strategic Importance
Executive summary The Kingdom of Jordan has long been one of the United States’ closest security partners in the Middle East, with its military facilities previously…
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Australia’s Role in Pacific Cyber-Physical Resilience
Executive Summary As the Pacific Islands Forum (PIF) region moves to the frontline of geopolitical competition, Australia’s achievement in connecting all PIF members to the global…
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Ireland’s Neutrality Dilemma
Introduction In August 2026, Irish Senator Michael McDowell described Ireland as ‘hopelessly undefended’. The Senator questioned, among other things, Ireland’s offensive drone capacity and the vulnerability…