Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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Yemen’s Escalating Humanitarian Access Crisis
Yemen’s humanitarian access crisis is worsening as renewed fighting, funding cuts and aid worker detentions obstruct relief. What measures can restore aid delivery?
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The Cost of Peace: The Renewed UNMISS Mandate Reveals a Tension Within the UN’s Peacekeeping Strategy
On 30 April 2026, the UN renewed the mandate of UNMISS, the peacekeeping mission in South Sudan. In addition to reducing troop numbers, the renewed mandate…
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Can the UAE Become An Independent Producer of Military Technology
Introduction The current volatile situation in the Gulf has forced the United Arab Emirates to enter into a direct conflict against Iran earlier this year (Malsin…
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JNIM-FLA tactical cooperation and state vulnerability in Mali
1. Executive Summary On 25 April 2026, JNIM and the FLA mounted a coordinated offensive across Mali, including attacks on Bamako, and killed Defence Minister Sadio…
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The French Military’s Renewed Defence Agreement with Chad
Executive Summary Less than two years after Chad called for the withdrawal of French military forces in November 2024, French troops are slowly returning to the…
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The Drone War in Sudan: How External Support Is Reshaping the Conflict
Recent Escalation Since June 2026, drone attacks have intensified across Sudan, with strikes targeting fuel stations, transport infrastructure and other strategic sites in El Obeid, Atbara…
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Attaching liability to agentic identity: How existing law could govern agentic systems
Executive Summary Governments are building the components of agentic accountability separately. Estonia has committed to issuing digital identities for “AI agents” and the EU registers high-risk…
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The $18 Billion Question: What Helsing Reveals About Europe’s Broken Defence Procurement Culture
Introduction In May 2026, Helsing, a Munich-based AI defence company, announced plans to raise funding to an estimated $18 billion with backing from tech billionaire Daniel…
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The EU should rethink its critical mineral strategy in Africa
Executive summary Introduction An increasing number of African countries have placed restrictions on the export of raw minerals, attempting to develop the ability to process them…
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Germany Redeploys Ships Positioned for Hormuz Mission: Conditional Naval Commitments
Executive Summary On 23 July 2026, the German Ministry of Defence announced the redeployment of two naval vessels, the mine hunter Fulda and support vessel Mosel, from Djibouti, where…
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Nvidia’s Asian Buyer Whitelist and the Gaps in US Chip Export Controls
Executive Summary The strategy of the United States towards chips export control defines what is prohibited. However, this relies on the action of individual companies to…
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New China-led AI Organization Challenges Western Dominance
Executive Summary On July 16th, during the week of the World Artificial Intelligence Conference, twenty-nine countries signed an agreement to establish the World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation…