Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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Botswana, Angola and the Fight Against Synthetic Diamonds
Botswana and Angola face growing competition from synthetic diamonds. Can provenance, branding and De Beers ownership preserve the value of natural diamonds?
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China’s Global Governance Initiative: How Should Europe Respond in the Global South?
Debate in Europe about China’s global role now rarely escapes the language of competition. The Belt and Road Initiative, the Global Development Initiative, the Global Security…
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The EU should rethink its critical mineral strategy in Africa
Executive summary Introduction An increasing number of African countries have placed restrictions on the export of raw minerals, attempting to develop the ability to process them…
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Japan’s Nuclear Posture: Between pacifist identity and regional security pressures
Introduction On 17 July 2026, Japan’s defence minister, Shinjiro Koizumi, called for nuclear policy discussion “without taboos”, hinting at a potential review of the “Three Non-Nuclear…
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New China-led AI Organization Challenges Western Dominance
Executive Summary On July 16th, during the week of the World Artificial Intelligence Conference, twenty-nine countries signed an agreement to establish the World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation…
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How the Russian Military is Recruiting Young African Men to Fight in Ukraine
Introduction As the war in Ukraine enters its fifth year, Russian casualties are rapidly increasing. Since the start of the war in 2022, over 1.2 million…
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Controlling Key Exports Is No Longer Just A G2 Affair
Executive Summary Over the past few years, the US and China have both dramatically expanded the scope of their export control regimes to give their leaders…
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The Weaponization of the Dollar: Can BRICS build a credible alternative?
Since the end of World War II, the American dollar has become the most important global currency, occupying a 57.8 % share of worldwide central bank…
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The New Ways of Dispute Resolution: The UN Security Council in 2026
The UN Security Council (UNSC) is the primary UN organ responsible for maintaining international peace and security under Chapter VII of the UN Charter. However, recent…
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What does the recent Italy-Africa summit in Addis Ababa reveal about EU-Africa Collaboration?
Executive Summary While the Mattei plan for Africa aspires to become an example for the EU on how to create an economic partnership with African Countries…
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Solidarity and Sovereignty: South Africa’s Palestinian Arrivals and the Politics of Displacement
Executive Summary On November 13, a chartered plane originally bound for Nairobi arrived in Johannesburg carrying 153 Palestinians from Gaza, many of whom lacked documentation. An…
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China’s Rare-Earth Export Squeeze and Europe’s Industrial Vulnerability
Executive Summary Rare-earth elements (REEs) constitute immense necessities for powering facets of modern technology such as EV motors, permanent magnets in the defence sector, and many…