Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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The Fall of Maduro’s Regime and Its Implications for Regional Security in Latin America
Executive Summary On January 3, 2026, the United States launched Operation Absolute Resolution to capture the President of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, Nicolás Maduro, and…
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Canada, China, and the Limits of Commercial Diversification
On 16 January 2026, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney announced a ‘preliminary but landmark trade agreement’ with China, after meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping in…
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Trump’s Tariffs over Greenland: Implications for the European Union
Executive Summary European Union member states have harshly criticised Donald Trump’s plans to obtain Greenland. His decision to impose tariffs up to 10% on eight European…
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Arctic Chessboard: The Race for Greenland Has Begun
Current situation Developments surrounding Greenland have become one of the central issues in global politics since US President Donald Trump expressed a strong desire to purchase the…
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Republic of Korea and the United States Semiconductor Relations
Executive Summary Since the start of Trump’s second administration, there have been major changes to the approach concerning foreign relations, policies and trade. However, one objective…
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A Strategic View on the EU’s FTA With Mercosur
After decades in the making, the European Union and Mercosur signed a free trade agreement in Asunción, Paraguay on January 17, 2026. If the deal is…
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Romania and Black Sea Maritime Security: Assessing Bucharest’s Case to Host the EU Hub
In his first major foreign policy speech Romanian President Nicusor Dan outlined a new national objective: becoming the host nation of the EU Black Sea Maritime…
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Assessing the Strategic Value of Ukraine’s Mineral Wealth
Executive Summary Ukraine’s vast mineral reserves—ranging from lithium and titanium to graphite and rare earth elements—have garnered heightened attention amid its ongoing conflict with Russia. Politicians…
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Oil and Algorithms: How Venezuala’s Geological Capabilities run the AI Race
Executive Summary Following the United States’ capture of President Nicolas Maduro on the 3rd of January 2026, the resource capability of Venezuela has highlighted increasingly hostile…
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Second AES Summit: Assessing the Alliance Two Years After Its Formation
On 22 and 23 December 2025, the second summit of the Alliance des États du Sahel (AES) took place in the Malian capital Bamako. In this…
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Second AES Summit: Assessing the Alliance Two Years After its Formation
On 22 and 23 December 2025, the second summit of the Alliance des États du Sahel (AES) took place in the Malian capital Bamako. In this…
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Preventitive Security Cooperation and Sovereignty Dilemmas: US-Trinidad Military Exercises and Caribbean Security Governance
Executive Summary U.S. military exercises with Trinidad and Tobago have coincided with heightened uncertainty in the wider Caribbean, drawing attention to Washington’s evolving approach to security…