Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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The French Military’s Renewed Defence Agreement with Chad
Executive Summary Less than two years after Chad called for the withdrawal of French military forces in November 2024, French troops are slowly returning to the…
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Ukraine’s Freyja Missile Defence: Wartime Innovation, European Industrial Integration, and the Future of Ballistic Missile Interception
Executive Summary In August 2026, Ukrainian defence firm Fire Point secured agreements with over a dozen European defence companies to provide radar, guidance, and command components…
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Export-by-Innovation: Britain’s Unique Strategy in Arming Ukraine
Executive Summary Since 2022, the United Kingdom has developed a mutually beneficial dual strategy to aid Ukraine. Alongside the conventional approaches being taken by partners to…
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From scientific excellence to commercial success: addressing Europe’s pharmaceutical competitiveness gap
Executive summary The European Federation of Pharmaceutical Industries and Associations’ (EFPIA) latest competitiveness analysis provides an overview of EU pharmaceutical competitiveness against its global competitors, namely…
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What DeepSeek reveals about the EU AI Act
Executive Summary The rapid growth of AI has pushed the European Union (EU) to regulate risks posed by General Purpose Artificial Intelligence (GPAI) models. Under the…
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Can the US-South Korea Alliance Survive Trump 2.0
Since the United States and Israel launched major military strikes against Iran in February, America’s allies have faced mounting pressure to support a conflict that is…
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Attaching liability to agentic identity: How existing law could govern agentic systems
Executive Summary Governments are building the components of agentic accountability separately. Estonia has committed to issuing digital identities for “AI agents” and the EU registers high-risk…
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The $18 Billion Question: What Helsing Reveals About Europe’s Broken Defence Procurement Culture
Introduction In May 2026, Helsing, a Munich-based AI defence company, announced plans to raise funding to an estimated $18 billion with backing from tech billionaire Daniel…
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The EU should rethink its critical mineral strategy in Africa
Executive summary Introduction An increasing number of African countries have placed restrictions on the export of raw minerals, attempting to develop the ability to process them…
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Inside the Sixth-Generation Fighter Divide
Executive summary On 8 June 2026, France and Germany formally agreed to abandon the crewed aircraft component of the SCAF/FCAS programme, following years of industrial deadlock…
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Scrap Access is Becoming Critical to Mineral Supply Chain Competition
Executive Summary Access to secondary materials is an important dimension of the critical mineral supply chains and trade. As the ability to recover minerals from waste…
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Understanding the Designation Paradox
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY States routinely engage diplomatically with armed groups they have designated as terrorist organisations. In June 2026, the United States acknowledged indirect contacts with Hezbollah…