Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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Uncovering the CCP Transnational Repression in the UK
Executive Summary The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) places great emphasis on controlling diaspora communities to maintain the power and stability of the party and has created…
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How GENAI Has Turned the Human Mind Into a Theatre of Conflict
Executive Summary Psychological warfare has existed for years, focused on altering emotions, morale, and behaviour, but has historically operated on the periphery of traditional conflict. The…
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Export-by-Innovation: Britain’s Unique Strategy in Arming Ukraine
Executive Summary Since 2022, the United Kingdom has developed a mutually beneficial dual strategy to aid Ukraine. Alongside the conventional approaches being taken by partners to…
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Why the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement is Not a New NATO
When Saudi Arabia, Türkiye and Pakistan signed the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement on August 7th the immediate reaction among commentators was almost reflexively to frame it…
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Joint Rapid Reaction Forces: Unified Command or Duplicated Structure?
Executive Summary: On 10 July 2026, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced the establishment of the Joint Rapid Reaction Forces (JRRF) within the Ukrainian Ground Forces.…
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Attaching liability to agentic identity: How existing law could govern agentic systems
Executive Summary Governments are building the components of agentic accountability separately. Estonia has committed to issuing digital identities for “AI agents” and the EU registers high-risk…
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The $18 Billion Question: What Helsing Reveals About Europe’s Broken Defence Procurement Culture
Introduction In May 2026, Helsing, a Munich-based AI defence company, announced plans to raise funding to an estimated $18 billion with backing from tech billionaire Daniel…
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The EU should rethink its critical mineral strategy in Africa
Executive summary Introduction An increasing number of African countries have placed restrictions on the export of raw minerals, attempting to develop the ability to process them…
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Inside the Sixth-Generation Fighter Divide
Executive summary On 8 June 2026, France and Germany formally agreed to abandon the crewed aircraft component of the SCAF/FCAS programme, following years of industrial deadlock…
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Iran as Leverage: How Allied Reluctance on Iran Is Reshaping US Security Commitments
Executive Summary On 16 August 2026, Trump announced a scale-down of the joint US-South Korea Ulchi Freedom Shield (UFS) exercise, explicitly linking the decision to South…
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The New Caribbean Front: Are Beijing and Moscow reshaping Cuban Defence Strategy?
Executive Summary On 6 August 2026, the United States announced new economic sanctions against Cuban military officials following the Cuban regime’s increasing cooperation with China and…
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Japan’s Nuclear Posture: Between pacifist identity and regional security pressures
Introduction On 17 July 2026, Japan’s defence minister, Shinjiro Koizumi, called for nuclear policy discussion “without taboos”, hinting at a potential review of the “Three Non-Nuclear…