Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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Conscription Without Consensus: Spain’s Defence Culture and the Absence of a Sustained Strategic Debate
Introduction. Historically, military service in Europe was closely linked to the development of the modern state and the idea of popular sovereignty, and it became firmly…
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Algeria’s Unusual Defence Budget and Implications for Global Security
If one is to look at the top five countries with the highest share of GDP dedicated to defence spending, the list generally tracks with global…
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Can the UAE Become An Independent Producer of Military Technology
Introduction The current volatile situation in the Gulf has forced the United Arab Emirates to enter into a direct conflict against Iran earlier this year (Malsin…
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JNIM-FLA tactical cooperation and state vulnerability in Mali
1. Executive Summary On 25 April 2026, JNIM and the FLA mounted a coordinated offensive across Mali, including attacks on Bamako, and killed Defence Minister Sadio…
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Task Force Talon Synapse: What is new, Who really benefits and What does it mean for the region?
On July 28th US Central Command (CENTCOM) announced the creation of Task Force Talon Synapse, a bilateral US-UAE Artificial Intelligence initiative bringing together 20 American and…
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How the Iran War is Fueling a New Nuclear Arms Race
Executive Summary The war against Iran, launched hours after Tehran agreed to uranium restrictions and full inspection access for the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), has…
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Sea of Azov Strikes: A new stage for Black Sea Shipping and Grain Markets
Executive Summary Beginning in early July 2026, Ukrainian drone forces have conducted an extended strike campaign against Russian shipping in the Sea of Azov. This inland…
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The State of Syria’s Security Reconstruction
Executive Summary: The Syrian Transitional Government headed by President Ahmad Al Sharaa has so far avoided the fate of post-Gaddafi Libya, integrating the Syrian Arab Army…
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Neither Ripe nor Ready: Why has peace-making failed in Sudan?
INTRODUCTION April 2026 marks three years of war in Sudan between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) (Amnesty International, 2026). Since…
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How the Russian Military is Recruiting Young African Men to Fight in Ukraine
Introduction As the war in Ukraine enters its fifth year, Russian casualties are rapidly increasing. Since the start of the war in 2022, over 1.2 million…
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A Permanent Seat Won’t Fix a Fractured House
During the Ministerial Meeting on the Reform of the UNSC held in Nairobi on March 11th, the AU Chairperson reaffirmed the African Union (AU) longstanding demand…
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Long-Range Deterrence and Autonomous Warfare in Turkiye’s SAHA 2026
The recently concluded SAHA 2026 International Defense and Aerospace Exhibition in Türkiye showcased leading innovations emerging from Türkiye’s defense industry. Among the systems unveiled at the…