Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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Capital in Crossfire: Analysing the Investment Game of India and China in Iran
Executive Summary Iran’s strategic location and energy abundance have made it a target of investment for both India and China, though the two countries have approached…
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How the War in Iran is Reshaping the War in Ukraine
Executive Summary The Iranian War has caused Ukraine to fade into the background of international news while also being institutionally overshadowed by the conflict. To adapt…
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Franchising Jihad
Executive Summary Although the United States (US) and Western partners successfully dismantled IS’s territorial proto-state in 2019, contemporary counterterrorism (CT) frameworks remain disproportionately focused on kinetic…
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Withdrawal of American Troops in Germany
Introduction On 2 May 2026, it was announced that the United States would withdraw up to 5,000 American troops from its military bases in Germany over…
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America’s Critical Minerals Problem: Why the Discovery of Lithium is Not Leverage
Executive Summary A recent lithium discovery within the United States’ Appalachian region has generated significant political attention while obscuring a more complicated strategic reality. China’s dominance…
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How China’s Undersea Mapping and Mining Fleet is Reshaping Maritime Security
Executive Summary Through the “Undersea Great Wall” and global mapping, China leverages a Civil-Military Fusion (CMF) strategy to transform underwater scientific research into tactical military assets.…
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Disruption Over Destruction
Introduction Within the past decade, the strategic landscape of outer space has experienced a radical evolution. From a sanctuary for reconnaissance to a contested warfighting domain,…
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India and the EU’s ‘Mother of All Deals’: A Strategic Move Beyond Trade and Economy
Executive Summary In January India and the European Union concluded negotiations for a landmark Free Trade Agreement after nearly two decades of intermittent talks. The agreement…
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After Hormuz: The Gulf’s Quiet Shift Away from Dependence
The war failed to change Iran. It changed how Gulf states think about dependence on Washington. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi declared that the Strait of…
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Rising Tensions on the Pakistan–Afghanistan Border: A Regional Security Flashpoint Re-emerges
Executive summary: Tensions along the Pakistan–Afghanistan border escalated significantly in February 2026. Pakistan launched airstrikes on 21–22 February, targeting alleged militant infrastructure in eastern Afghanistan. The…
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Understanding Pakistan’s Parallel Partnerships
Executive Summary Pakistan finds itself at a complicated crossroad, where it has a long-standing ally and partner in the US as well as a pact-bound Saudi…
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Here’s What a Weak Iran Could Mean for the World
The conflict between Iran and a joint US-Israeli force enters its third week and shows no indication of de-escalation. Actors in the conflict have targeted economic,…