Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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Can Article 42.7 Become Europe’s Credible Defence Fallback?
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Article 42.7 is the lesser-known EU mutual defence clause, invoked once in history by France following the 2015 Paris attacks and now requested to…
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The State of Syria’s Security Reconstruction
Executive Summary: The Syrian Transitional Government headed by President Ahmad Al Sharaa has so far avoided the fate of post-Gaddafi Libya, integrating the Syrian Arab Army…
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Data Poisoning in AI-Managed Smart Grids
1. Executive Summary The transition toward renewable energy in the UK, Germany, and Australia has driven power grids toward rapid decentralisation. To manage these complex Distributed…
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Why the US Military Has Failed to Eradicate the Houthi Threat in the Red Sea
The Houthis of Yemen, officially referred to as Anṣār Allāh, have been embroiled in a maritime conflict, commonly dubbed “the Red Sea Crisis,” since October 2023.…
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Britain’s Last-Minute GCAP Funding: Alliance Reliability and Japan’s Strategic Leverage
Executive Summary On 1 July 2026, the UK government published its Defence Investment Plan, committing £8.6 billion over four years to the Global Combat Air Programme,…
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European Re-Union? The Renewal of the UK-EU Relationship
The world in which Britain left the European Union is no longer the world in which it finds itself. For almost a decade, the advantages and…
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What China’s First Prohibition Order Can and Cannot Shield
Executive Summary On 2 May 2026, China’s Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) issued a prohibition order under its Blocking Rules concerning Hengli (Dalian) and four other refineries.…
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The AES Paradox: Sovereignty at What Cost?
On April 25th 2026, the Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) and the Azawad Liberation Front (FLA) launched coordinated attacks on several Malian cities: Bamako, Kati, Kidal,…
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The Northern Navies Plan: Why It is Being Pursued and Its Consequences
On the 29th April 2026, the First Sea Lord of the Royal Navy (RN), General Sir Gwyn Jenkins, unveiled the new Northern Navies plan at the…
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How the Russian Military is Recruiting Young African Men to Fight in Ukraine
Introduction As the war in Ukraine enters its fifth year, Russian casualties are rapidly increasing. Since the start of the war in 2022, over 1.2 million…
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A Permanent Seat Won’t Fix a Fractured House
During the Ministerial Meeting on the Reform of the UNSC held in Nairobi on March 11th, the AU Chairperson reaffirmed the African Union (AU) longstanding demand…
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Rethinking the Continuous Combat Function: Deficiencies and Implementations
Introduction In October 2015, The Intercept published the investigative report “The Drone Papers,” revealing the U.S. military’s drone program during the Obama administration, focusing on operations…