Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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The IRGC, the Iranian Economy, and Prospects for Regime Change
Following US-Israeli military strikes on Iran and the explicit objective of forcing regime change, analysts have attempted to gauge the likelihood of the Islamic Republic falling.…
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Italy in the Pacific: An overview of Italian-Indonesian Relations
Indonesia and Italy are not often classed as partners when analysing the economic and security relations between Southeast Asia and Europe. Italy has historically only had…
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When Will Putin Attack Europe? Conclusions from Four Years of the Russian–Ukrainian War for European Security
The Problematic Use of the Term “Full-Scale War” The Russian–Ukrainian war has continued since 24 February 2022 and is often called a ‘full-scale war.’ This term…
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India’s Energy Week and the Geopolitics of Energy Beyond the US
A Summit with a Message Following India’s Energy Week in Goa a few weeks ago, energy diplomacy is more vital than ever. The Washington Post described…
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Why “Coopetition” may be a better descriptor of the Indo-Pacific’s shifting order than a “Second Cold War”
The Indo-Pacific order is characterised by “coopetition”. Put simply, “coopetition” is a portmanteau of “cooperation” and “competition”. The term has been used in Business Studies to…
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How Does the Recent Surge in Balochistan Violence Threaten the Security of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC)?
Executive Summary The Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA) launched Operation “Herof 2.0” in late January 2026 with coordinated attacks across 12 districts in Balochistan. This escalation directly…
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High-Energy Warfare and the New Nuclear Security Dilemma in South Asia
High-energy weapons (HEWs), especially high-energy lasers (HELs) and high-power microwave (HPM) systems, are moving from being “future tech” to being useful for defending air bases and…
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Forging the Nuclear Trident: China’s Pursuit of a Balanced Triad Across Land, Sea, and Air
Introduction China is rapidly transforming its “minimum deterrent” into a larger, more survivable and versatile nuclear force that can operate on land, at sea, and in…
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Why Overt Intervention in Iran’s Protests could be counterproductive
As protests in Iran continue alongside an increasingly harsh state crackdown, during which more than two thousand people are reported to have been killed by security…
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India in the Weimar Triangle: A Milestone in EU-Global South Strategic Partnerships
The Indian External Affairs Minister, Dr. S. Jaishankar, had been invited as a guest at the exclusive Weimar Triangle, which took place in January 2026. There,…
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Republic of Korea and the United States Semiconductor Relations
Executive Summary Since the start of Trump’s second administration, there have been major changes to the approach concerning foreign relations, policies and trade. However, one objective…
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Cold Routes, Warm Oil: The Strategic Logic of Russia’s Northern Sea Route
Executive Summary Russia’s Northern Sea Route (NSR) offers a sanctions-resilient alternative rather than simply a shorter trade corridor. Operating largely under Russian jurisdiction and bypassing heavily…