Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
Geographic discovery
Follow the research by region
Regions use automatic searches across existing publications, not additional country tags.
Browse all 13 research regions
-
Moscow’s African Bargains Can Loosen
Since 2022, the dominant reading of Russia in the Sahel has been one of strategic entrenchment, with Moscow as the active party and the post-coup regimes…
-
Africa Corps: Why the Rebrand Demands a Policy Rethink
In much Western policy and media analysis, the Wagner Group’s conversion into Africa Corps is framed as continuity under a new name, with many assuming the…
-
Somaliland’s Long Road from ‘De Facto’ to ‘De Jure’
Introduction In 1991, Somaliland unilaterally declared independence from Somalia. Since then, the breakaway region has constructed relatively stable and democratic institutions in contrast to Somalia, along…
-
Russian Border Guards in the Sahara
Executive Summary Within the overlap of the Sahel and Sahara regions, the handling of the Libya-Sudan-Chad tri-border area shifted the Wagner Group’s arbitrariness, reliant on plausible…
-
What the Shangri-La Dialogue Reveals About Security in the Asia-Pacific
Established in 2002, the Shangri-La Dialogue (SLD) is the premier defence and security conference in the Asia-Pacific region and provides a unique opportunity for allies and…
-
Evaluating Geopolitical Threats to Climate Asymmetry
In early 2026, climate stress in the Mekong Delta highlighted the fragility of regional rice production and the wider exposure of Southeast Asian food systems to…
-
Capital in Crossfire: Analysing the Investment Game of India and China in Iran
Executive Summary Iran’s strategic location and energy abundance have made it a target of investment for both India and China, though the two countries have approached…
-
The Question of West Papua
Introduction The western side of the Melanesian island of New Guinea is governed by Indonesia, where the country has long faced a secessionist struggle as indigenous…
-
Franchising Jihad
Executive Summary Although the United States (US) and Western partners successfully dismantled IS’s territorial proto-state in 2019, contemporary counterterrorism (CT) frameworks remain disproportionately focused on kinetic…
-
The Erosion of Europe’s Monopoly on Cyberspace
Executive Summary Anthropic’s decision on 7 April 2026 to withhold Claude Mythos Preview from general commercial release, and to distribute it through the Project Glasswing consortium…
-
Sudan’s Drone War
Executive Summary On May 11th 2026, the United Nations Office of the High Commissioner on Human Rights (OHCHR) warned that Sudan’s war risks entering an even…
-
The Advanced AI Paradox: Changing the Risk Equation
Executive Summary History is at increasing risk of repeating itself on a larger, unprecedented level. The 1929 global economic crisis and (rising) potential modern financial instability…