Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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Understanding the Green Paradox
The global energy crisis, driven by the conflict in Iran, has arrived swiftly, disrupting 20% of global oil supply and sending prices surging past $100 per…
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The Type 095 Sui-Class Submarine and China’s Arctic Ambitions
Introduction The launch of China’s new Type 095 (09V) Sui-Class nuclear powered submarine represents a significant expansion of the People’s Liberation Army Navy’s (PLAN) capabilities in…
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Austrian Eurofighter Intercept of US Military Aircraft: Non-NATO Airspace Coordination
Executive Summary On 10–11 May 2026, Austrian Eurofighters intercepted US U-28A ISR aircraft on consecutive days, with the second incident triggering a Priority A quick reaction…
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Sweden’s Emerging Role in NATO
Introduction Sweden is one of NATO’s newest members, and beyond the formal commitments to the alliance, its recent policies and defence initiatives suggest an effort to…
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Syria’s Economic Reconstruction
Executive Summary The Syrian Transitional Government headed by President Ahmad Al Sharaa, is attempting to overhaul Syria’s economy once marked by cronyism and state backed cartels…
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US Security Strategy in APAC: Revisiting the US National Defence Strategy Posture
Executive Summary Trump’s statements and the US’s suggestions to pause the US’s $14 billion arms sales to Taiwan have sparked security and military concerns over the…
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Defence Unicorns Need More than Investor Forums
The UK Government must move from taking advice to taking action On 22 April, the UK’s Ministry of Defence (MoD) announced that the Defence Investors’ Advisory…
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The Question of West Papua
Introduction The western side of the Melanesian island of New Guinea is governed by Indonesia, where the country has long faced a secessionist struggle as indigenous…
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How the 2026 Hungarian Elections are Affecting European Union Security
Executive Summary The 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary elections were particularly consequential for the country and the whole of the European Union (EU). This election decided whether Budapest…
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How the War in Iran is Reshaping the War in Ukraine
Executive Summary The Iranian War has caused Ukraine to fade into the background of international news while also being institutionally overshadowed by the conflict. To adapt…
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Franchising Jihad
Executive Summary Although the United States (US) and Western partners successfully dismantled IS’s territorial proto-state in 2019, contemporary counterterrorism (CT) frameworks remain disproportionately focused on kinetic…
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The Erosion of Europe’s Monopoly on Cyberspace
Executive Summary Anthropic’s decision on 7 April 2026 to withhold Claude Mythos Preview from general commercial release, and to distribute it through the Project Glasswing consortium…