Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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A state’s foreign policy can only be understood by studying its National Security Strategy: Especially when it comes to the United States
A common mistake in International Relations (IR) is trying to understand a state’s foreign policy without considering the provisions of its National Security Strategy (NSS) or…
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Constitutional Referendum in Kazakhstan: Advancing Partnership or Heightening Tensions with Russia?
The referendum held in Kazakhstan on 15 March 2026 marked the final stage in the adoption of the country’s new constitution. 87% of voters supported its…
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Cracks in the Foundation: The Security Implications of Democratic Backsliding Inside NATO
For the 76 years of its existence, NATO has been the cornerstone of security in the North Atlantic. Characterized by its members’ mutual commitment to collective…
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Here’s What a Weak Iran Could Mean for the World
The conflict between Iran and a joint US-Israeli force enters its third week and shows no indication of de-escalation. Actors in the conflict have targeted economic,…
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Italy in the Pacific: An overview of Italian-Indonesian Relations
Indonesia and Italy are not often classed as partners when analysing the economic and security relations between Southeast Asia and Europe. Italy has historically only had…
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Strategic Autonomy, Coordination and Politics of Contestation: Reducing Eurosceptic Backlash
Based on the latest debates on geopolitical tensions surrounding Ukraine and the emerging modus operandi of the current U.S. administration, the European Union (EU) appears to…
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The empty promises of a ‘strategic partnership’ with Russia: Lessons from the US-Israeli operation against Iran
The imaginary ‘Moscow–Tehran axis’ against Western global hegemony On 17 January 2025, in Moscow, Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian signed the Comprehensive…
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When Will Putin Attack Europe? Conclusions from Four Years of the Russian–Ukrainian War for European Security
The Problematic Use of the Term “Full-Scale War” The Russian–Ukrainian war has continued since 24 February 2022 and is often called a ‘full-scale war.’ This term…
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India’s Energy Week and the Geopolitics of Energy Beyond the US
A Summit with a Message Following India’s Energy Week in Goa a few weeks ago, energy diplomacy is more vital than ever. The Washington Post described…
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Space Security and the Collapse of Arms Control
‘We’re doomed,’ exclaimed C-3PO, the quirky golden robot from George Lucas’s iconic Star Wars movies. Space has captured the imagination of generations. For the most part,…
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‘Strong regions for a safe Europe’: Is this a new source of hope for the eastern regions of the European Union?
On 18 February 2026, the European Commission published its Communication on the EU’s eastern regions bordering Russia, Belarus, and Ukraine [1], bearing the significant subtitle ‘Strong…
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How the Purge of Military Generals Is Reshaping the PLA and the Question of Xi Jinping’s Successor
President Xi Jinping’s fight against corruption continues to purge senior officials and army generals from the ranks of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and its armed…