Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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Implications of Saudi-Emirati Rivalry for Yemen and Beyond
Executive Summary The end of 2025 marked the start of an open crisis between the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Saudi Arabia, which had been building…
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Romania and Black Sea Maritime Security: Assessing Bucharest’s Case to Host the EU Hub
In his first major foreign policy speech Romanian President Nicusor Dan outlined a new national objective: becoming the host nation of the EU Black Sea Maritime…
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Solidarity and Sovereignty: South Africa’s Palestinian Arrivals and the Politics of Displacement
Executive Summary On November 13, a chartered plane originally bound for Nairobi arrived in Johannesburg carrying 153 Palestinians from Gaza, many of whom lacked documentation. An…
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Second AES Summit: Assessing the Alliance Two Years After Its Formation
On 22 and 23 December 2025, the second summit of the Alliance des États du Sahel (AES) took place in the Malian capital Bamako. In this…
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Second AES Summit: Assessing the Alliance Two Years After its Formation
On 22 and 23 December 2025, the second summit of the Alliance des États du Sahel (AES) took place in the Malian capital Bamako. In this…
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Guardrails for the New UN Cybercrime Convention’s Cross-Border Data Powers
Executive Summary This brief sets out guardrails for the UN Convention against Cybercrime’s cross-border data powers. The treaty promises faster, more predictable cooperation on electronic evidence,…
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The Israel-Egypt Gas Deal: Energy Cooperation and Political Risk
Executive Summary The 15-year natural gas export agreement between Israel and Egypt, which has been recently renewed marking a $34-35 billion deal, has become far more…
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Blood Gold: The UAE and the Transnational Networks Driving Sudan’s War Economy
Executive Summary The fall of El Fasher to the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in late October 2025 marked yet another pivotal moment in Sudan’s war. The…
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The New Great Game: Crafting a Western Strategy for the Caucasus and Central Asia
Executive Summary The term “soft underbelly” has been used to describe the Soviet Union and, more recently, Russia’s potential weaknesses on its southern flank. This region…
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Trump’s H-1B Move and Its Impact on US–India Relations
On September 19th, Trump administration announced the largest increase in the H1B visa fees since their inception in 1990. The announcement caused significant confusion among US…
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India’s Independent Foreign Policy Shifts from 2018 to 2025
5 Oct 2025 As the first long-form publication emerging from a CISES working group, this white paper represents a significant step forward in our mission to…
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The withdrawal of French military forces from Africa
“Ingratitude”: this is the term used by President Emmanuel Macron on January 6th, during the annual conference of ambassadors. The leaders of the countries where French…