Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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Withdrawal of American Troops in Germany
Introduction On 2 May 2026, it was announced that the United States would withdraw up to 5,000 American troops from its military bases in Germany over…
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The Start of a Diminishing US Military Presence in Europe
Executive Summary In early May, the Pentagon announced that thousands of American troops would be withdrawn from Germany in the coming months. While no explicit reasoning…
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The New Ways of Dispute Resolution: The UN Security Council in 2026
The UN Security Council (UNSC) is the primary UN organ responsible for maintaining international peace and security under Chapter VII of the UN Charter. However, recent…
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Japan’s Return to Arms
Introduction On 21 April 2026, the Cabinet of Japan’s Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi abolished the country’s longstanding ban on the export of lethal weapons. This policy…
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Disruption Over Destruction
Introduction Within the past decade, the strategic landscape of outer space has experienced a radical evolution. From a sanctuary for reconnaissance to a contested warfighting domain,…
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India and the EU’s ‘Mother of All Deals’: A Strategic Move Beyond Trade and Economy
Executive Summary In January India and the European Union concluded negotiations for a landmark Free Trade Agreement after nearly two decades of intermittent talks. The agreement…
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After Hormuz: The Gulf’s Quiet Shift Away from Dependence
The war failed to change Iran. It changed how Gulf states think about dependence on Washington. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi declared that the Strait of…
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Russian Intelligence, Hungary, and the Restoration of EU Intelligence Integrity
Russia has turned the strategic use of intelligence into an art form, but one of its most valuable assets has just slipped through its fingers. Russia’s…
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Critical Minerals and the Green Transition: Is the EU Replacing One Dependency with Another? The Australia-EU FTA
In March 2026, the EU and Australia signed a landmark trade deal that is expected to make Australian critical raw materials more affordable for the EU.…
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How have the conflicts in the Middle East affected the efficacy of UN peacekeeping missions in Lebanon?
On March 30, 2026, the UN confirmed the death of two Indonesian peacekeepers in southern Lebanon during their UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) mission. As…
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Rising Tensions on the Pakistan–Afghanistan Border: A Regional Security Flashpoint Re-emerges
Executive summary: Tensions along the Pakistan–Afghanistan border escalated significantly in February 2026. Pakistan launched airstrikes on 21–22 February, targeting alleged militant infrastructure in eastern Afghanistan. The…
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What does the recent Italy-Africa summit in Addis Ababa reveal about EU-Africa Collaboration?
Executive Summary While the Mattei plan for Africa aspires to become an example for the EU on how to create an economic partnership with African Countries…