Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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A state’s foreign policy can only be understood by studying its National Security Strategy: Especially when it comes to the United States
A common mistake in International Relations (IR) is trying to understand a state’s foreign policy without considering the provisions of its National Security Strategy (NSS) or…
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Constitutional Referendum in Kazakhstan: Advancing Partnership or Heightening Tensions with Russia?
The referendum held in Kazakhstan on 15 March 2026 marked the final stage in the adoption of the country’s new constitution. 87% of voters supported its…
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Cracks in the Foundation: The Security Implications of Democratic Backsliding Inside NATO
For the 76 years of its existence, NATO has been the cornerstone of security in the North Atlantic. Characterized by its members’ mutual commitment to collective…
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Italy in the Pacific: An overview of Italian-Indonesian Relations
Indonesia and Italy are not often classed as partners when analysing the economic and security relations between Southeast Asia and Europe. Italy has historically only had…
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Strategic Autonomy, Coordination and Politics of Contestation: Reducing Eurosceptic Backlash
Based on the latest debates on geopolitical tensions surrounding Ukraine and the emerging modus operandi of the current U.S. administration, the European Union (EU) appears to…
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The empty promises of a ‘strategic partnership’ with Russia: Lessons from the US-Israeli operation against Iran
The imaginary ‘Moscow–Tehran axis’ against Western global hegemony On 17 January 2025, in Moscow, Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian signed the Comprehensive…
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When Will Putin Attack Europe? Conclusions from Four Years of the Russian–Ukrainian War for European Security
The Problematic Use of the Term “Full-Scale War” The Russian–Ukrainian war has continued since 24 February 2022 and is often called a ‘full-scale war.’ This term…
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‘Strong regions for a safe Europe’: Is this a new source of hope for the eastern regions of the European Union?
On 18 February 2026, the European Commission published its Communication on the EU’s eastern regions bordering Russia, Belarus, and Ukraine [1], bearing the significant subtitle ‘Strong…
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Germany’s Missing Warship – How the F126 Became a Strategic Liability and Ways out of the Crises
Executive Summary The German F126 frigate program, supposed to serve as the foundation of Germany’s naval combat capabilities in the future, is beset by major setbacks,…
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Who Will Guarantee Europe’s Security?
Decades of reliance on the transatlantic alliance have shaped Europe’s security thinking around the United States. The start of Donald Trump’s second administration has brought obvious…
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Contemporary Sabotage
On the eve of the Winter Olympics, thousands of spectators were already on the move when flames lit up a railway junction near Pesaro. Overnight, fires,…
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Towards Informational Isolation: The Development of a New Russian Information Security Doctrine amid Preparations for War
Russia has recently announced the commencement of work on a new Information Security Doctrine. Although the document has not yet been formally drafted, its basic contours…