Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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The Fall of Nicolás Maduro and the Fall of Putin’s Imperialism
The US intervention in Venezuela and the capture of Nicolas Maduro to bring him to trial on criminal charges have far-reaching implications for international politics. One…
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Decapitating Maduro: A Short-Term Win That Raises Long-Term Questions for U.S. Grand Strategy
Last night saw a number of airstrikes launched across Venezuela, with President Donald Trump announcing that a raid by US Delta Force and the FBI’s Hostage…
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China’s Rare-Earth Export Squeeze and Europe’s Industrial Vulnerability
Executive Summary Rare-earth elements (REEs) constitute immense necessities for powering facets of modern technology such as EV motors, permanent magnets in the defence sector, and many…
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India’s Backyard Problem: China’s Expanding Partnership with Pakistan
Executive Summary China and Pakistan have held 22 high-level meetings, just this year. In September, President Xi Jinping and Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif met at the…
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The New Great Game: Crafting a Western Strategy for the Caucasus and Central Asia
Executive Summary The term “soft underbelly” has been used to describe the Soviet Union and, more recently, Russia’s potential weaknesses on its southern flank. This region…
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The New Space Race: India’s Efforts in China’s Shadow
Executive Summary India launched its Naval communications satellite CMS-03 aboard its homegrown LVM3 rocket successfully on 2nd November. It is also set to launch the third…
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The Problem with Unpredictability as Doctrine
Predictability is an important feature of the international system. States behave predictably to augment their own international standing, reputation, and forge working relationships with other nations.…
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The Optics of a Golden Age: US-Japan Bilateral Summit
Executive Summary As part of his East Asia visit, President Trump met with newly-elected prime minister Sanae Takaichi on the 28th of October in Tokyo. The…
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Trump’s H-1B Move and Its Impact on US–India Relations
On September 19th, Trump administration announced the largest increase in the H1B visa fees since their inception in 1990. The announcement caused significant confusion among US…
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The Afghanistan-Pakistan Conflict: Analysing Mediation Diplomacy
Executive Summary The Foreign Ministry of Turkey recently announced the agreement to maintain the ceasefire between Pakistan and Taliban-led Afghanistan, following the earlier peace talks in…
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Japan’s Political Pivot: Sanae Takaichi’s Rise to Power and Regional Ramifications
Scandals, parliamentary defeats and the resignation of Prime Minister Ishiba: a troubled era for the Liberal Democratic Party For nearly seven decades, the Liberal Democratic Party,…
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The Chokepoint: How China turned Western Decoupling into a Weapon
Executive Summary On October 9, China announced export controls on twelve rare earth minerals essential to advanced defense systems, including components for the F-35 fighter jet…