Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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Why “Coopetition” may be a better descriptor of the Indo-Pacific’s shifting order than a “Second Cold War”
The Indo-Pacific order is characterised by “coopetition”. Put simply, “coopetition” is a portmanteau of “cooperation” and “competition”. The term has been used in Business Studies to…
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Critical Minerals Diplomacy: The US-El Salvador Agreement and Economic Security Implications
Executive Summary In late January 2026, the United States and El Salvador agreed on a bilateral trade pact that would encourage both countries’ cooperative efforts to…
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Who Will Guarantee Europe’s Security?
Decades of reliance on the transatlantic alliance have shaped Europe’s security thinking around the United States. The start of Donald Trump’s second administration has brought obvious…
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Towards Informational Isolation: The Development of a New Russian Information Security Doctrine amid Preparations for War
Russia has recently announced the commencement of work on a new Information Security Doctrine. Although the document has not yet been formally drafted, its basic contours…
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Governing the Quantum Arms Race for Global Peace and Security
The Quantum Shift is Arriving before the Rules Do Quantum technologies are no longer a speculative frontier. They are moving unevenly but decisively into national security…
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The Future of Transatlanticism: Why NATO still needs America
Upon NATO’s formation, Lord Ismay proclaimed that the Alliance’s function was to “keep the Americans in, the Germans down and the Russians out”. Nearly 80 years…
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Testing the Threshold: China’s Drone Incursion into Taiwanese Airspace
On 17th January 2026, at 5.44am, China reportedly launched a drone incursion into Taiwanese-controlled airspace above Pratas island in the South China Sea. Despite previous drone…
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The Politics of Restraint in the Iran Escalation: Gulf States and US Military Bases
Executive Summary Recent U.S. threats of military action against Iran have prompted explicit concern from Washington’s Gulf partners. Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, and…
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Russia and the Protests in Iran: What Outcome Is Putin Really Interested In?
Western reporting on the protests in Iran has been dominated by outrage at the brutality of the authorities, who – not for the first time –…
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The Syrian Democratic Forces: From US Key Partner Against ISIS to Peripheral Actor
Summary The Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) were central to defeating ISIS, serving as the U.S.’s primary ground partner in northeastern Syria through combat operations, local governance,…
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Japan’s Defense Budget Evolution: New Dimensions and Continuity
Executive Summary Japan has approved a historically large defense budget and committed to a sustained increase in the coming years in response to both domestic sentiment…
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Why Overt Intervention in Iran’s Protests could be counterproductive
As protests in Iran continue alongside an increasingly harsh state crackdown, during which more than two thousand people are reported to have been killed by security…