Research & Analysis
Independent research on security, geopolitical competition, economic statecraft and emerging technologies. Explore our publications by subject, programme, region or contributor.
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Mali After the April Offensive and the Limits of Junta-Led Regional Security in the Sahel
Executive Summary Mali’s 25-26 April offensive exposed the limits of junta-led security at both national and regional levels. Coordinated attacks by Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM)…
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The New Ways of Dispute Resolution: The UN Security Council in 2026
The UN Security Council (UNSC) is the primary UN organ responsible for maintaining international peace and security under Chapter VII of the UN Charter. However, recent…
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After Hormuz: The Gulf’s Quiet Shift Away from Dependence
The war failed to change Iran. It changed how Gulf states think about dependence on Washington. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi declared that the Strait of…
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What You Need to Know About the Trump-XI Summit
Executive Summary On May 13 US President Donald Trump traveled to Beijing for a two-day state visit. Trump and China’s leader Xi Jinping are expected to…
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How have the conflicts in the Middle East affected the efficacy of UN peacekeeping missions in Lebanon?
On March 30, 2026, the UN confirmed the death of two Indonesian peacekeepers in southern Lebanon during their UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) mission. As…
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Understanding Pakistan’s Parallel Partnerships
Executive Summary Pakistan finds itself at a complicated crossroad, where it has a long-standing ally and partner in the US as well as a pact-bound Saudi…
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Contemporary Sabotage
On the eve of the Winter Olympics, thousands of spectators were already on the move when flames lit up a railway junction near Pesaro. Overnight, fires,…
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Can Economic Pressure Curb Iran? US Leverage over Iraq’s Next Government
Executive Summary The US has threatened economic pressure on Iraq to ensure the exclusion of Iranian-backed militias in any future government coalition. However, Iran’s influence goes…
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Inrahi, Traoré and the Anti-Colonial Sentiment in the Sahel
Executive Summary: The prominent rise to power of Ibrahim Traoré, Interim President of Burkina Faso for the past 3 years, has reshaped geopolitical trends in the…
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Russia and the Protests in Iran: What Outcome Is Putin Really Interested In?
Western reporting on the protests in Iran has been dominated by outrage at the brutality of the authorities, who – not for the first time –…
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Managing Tensions at Sea: ASEAN Chairmanship and the Philippines’ Strategic Moment
Ongoing disputes in the South China Sea (SCS) are anticipated to be high on ASEAN’s agenda in 2026 as the Philippines assumes leadership of the organization.…
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Japan’s Defense Budget Evolution: New Dimensions and Continuity
Executive Summary Japan has approved a historically large defense budget and committed to a sustained increase in the coming years in response to both domestic sentiment…